Friday, July 20, 2012

Weekend Box Office Predictions (Jul 20 - 22): The Dark Knight Rises

MoviePredicted Gross (m)Change
1. The Dark Knight Rises204.0$46,322 PTA
2. Ice Age: Continental Drift24.0-48.5%
3. The Amazing Spider-Man15.0-56.7%
4. Ted12.0-46.5%
5. Brave6.5-41.8%
6. Magic Mike5.7-36.8%
7. Savages4.3-54.2%
8. Moonrise Kingdom2.7-27.1%
9. Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection2.3-58.8%
10. Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted1.7-53.7%

Final prediction breakdown for The Dark Knight Rises (upped a little from the earlier set):

Midnight - $35m
Friday w/o midnight - $60m
Friday w/ midnight - $95m
Saturday - $58m (-3.3% from Friday w/o midnight)
Sunday - $51m (-12.1%)
Opening Weekend - $204m
Domestic Total - $625m (3.06 multiplier, 3.49 if we exclude midnight from both OW and total)


  1. your 204 mil for weekend, are not looking good at all

    1. That's a completely trivial issue now given the tragedy happened in Colorado. I would very much refrain from discussing any box office related subjects this weekend.