Tuesday, July 3, 2012

Deducting The Amazing Spider-Man's Opening Week from its Tuesday #

Let's suppose The Amazing Spider-Man earns x amount from Tuesday, including midnight as that is the number media will report, we could use the multipliers from the first Transformers, which faced the same calendar when it opened in 2007, to deduct its possible opening week figure. Here is the calculation:


For Transformers
Tuesday-to-6-day multiplier, not including Monday night's preview: (155.405412-8.801025) / 27.851016 = 5.264

Apply to Spider-Man
Assuming Tuesday gross with midnight is x, the same multiplier would put 6 days at
    (x - 7.5) * 5.264 + 7.5 = 5.264 * x - 7.5 * 4.264 = 5.264 * x - 31.98

Apply to Various x's
x = 27, 6-day = 110.15
x = 30, 6-day = 125.94
x = 33, 6-day = 141.73
x = 37, 6-day = 162.79

Of course, Spider-Man may not follow a similar pattern at all, but this hopefully could provide a general idea on where the 6 days could land once the Tuesday number is known.

If you are playing HSX, I also have a similar calculation posted here for the opening adjust price. Basically the calculation comes out to be 9.56 * x - 64.2.


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