Friday, April 27, 2012

Weekend Box Office Predictions (Apr 27 - 29): The Five-Year Engagement, The Pirates, The Raven, Safe

MoviePredicted Gross (m)Change
1. Think Like a Man18.5-45.0%
2. The Five-Year Engagement18.0$6,131 PTA
3. The Pirates! Band of Misfits16.0$4,765 PTA
4. The Lucky One11.5-48.9%
5. The Hunger Games11.0-25.0%
6. The Raven11.0$4,993 PTA
7. Safe8.0$3,530 PTA
8. The Three Stooges5.6-42.6%
9. Chimpanzee4.5-57.8%
10. The Cabin in the Woods4.1-48.9%

Monday, April 23, 2012

China Weekly Box Office (04/16 - 04/22): Titanic 3D crossed $110m

MovieWeekly Gross (yuan/dollar)Change# of showingsadmissionsTotal (yuan/dollar)
1. Titanic 3D(泰坦尼克号)270m ($42.80m)-42.3%104,1276,042,972738m ($117.02m)
2. Battleship(超级战舰)122m ($19.34m)New79,6823,591,404122m ($19.34m)
3. Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance(灵魂战车2)24.4m ($3.87m)New21,231624,20027.05m ($4.29m)
4. R.T.T.(迈阿密行动)4.7m ($0.74m)-55.7%21,547159,32215.3m ($2.42m)
5. New York Assassination(纽约行动)3.8m ($0.60m)-51.3%19,133129,60411.6m ($1.84m)
6. Love in the Buff(春娇与志明)1.96m ($0.31m)-81.7%7,95759,16071.66m ($11.37m)
7. Love on that Day(爱在那一天)1.6m ($0.25m)-49.2%10,81155,2864.75m ($0.75m)
8. Huang Dao Qing Fei Liao(荒岛情未了)1.2m ($0.19m)-40.0%8,42041,3503.2m ($0.51m)
9. Blood Stained Shoes(绣花鞋)1.19m ($0.19m)-82.8%5,88140,31144.39m ($7.04m)
10. Wrath of the Titans(诸神之怒)1.14m ($0.18m)-88.0%3,17527,384165.04m ($26.19m)
(Source, 1 Chinese Yuan == $0.1585)

If we combine Titanic's number from the original release, it has grossed over 1 billion yuan to surpass Transformers 3, with Avatar in sight to reclaim the crown for the biggest film ever in China.

Friday, April 20, 2012

Weekend Box Office Predictions (Apr 20 - 22): Think Like a Man, The Lucky One, Chimpanzee

MoviePredicted Gross (m)Change
1. Think Like a Man26.0$12,903 PTA
2. The Lucky One23.0$7,290 PTA
3. The Hunger Games11.5-45.5%
4. The Three Stooges9.0-47.1%
5. Titanic (3D)7.5-37.1%
6. Chimpanzee7.0$4,479 PTA
7. The Cabin in the Woods6.5-55.9%
8. American Reunion5.0-52.3%
9. Mirror Mirror4.4-35.7%
10. 21 Jump Street4.3-34.4%

Monday, April 16, 2012

China Weekly Box Office (04/09 - 04/15): Titanic has arrived, and oh my, what an entrance!

MovieWeekly Gross (yuan/dollar)Change# of showingsadmissionsTotal (yuan/dollar)
1. Titanic 3D(泰坦尼克号)468m ($74.22m)New113,02010,500,336468m ($74.22m)
2. Love in the Buff(春娇与志明)10.7m ($1.70m)-73.6%32,392321,41769.7m ($11.06m)
3. R.T.T.(迈阿密行动)10.6m ($1.68m)New21,673364,88810.6m ($1.68m)
4. Wrath of the Titans(诸神之怒)9.5m ($1.51m)-91.2%20,180226,460163.9m ($26.01m)
5. New York Assassination(纽约行动)7.8m ($1.24m)New14,002262,1847.8m ($1.24m)
6. Blood Stained Shoes(绣花鞋)6.9m ($1.09m)-74.9%26,033221,43743.2m ($6.85m)
7. The Unfortunate Car(车在囧途)5m ($0.79m)-74.7%21,277169,20427.05m ($4.29m)
8. Love on that Day(爱在那一天)3.15m ($0.50m)New8,112103,3463.15m ($0.50m)
9. John Carter(异星战场)3.03m ($0.48m)-90.2%9,34683,887262.53m ($41.51m)
10. Huang Dao Qing Fei Liao(荒岛情未了)2m ($0.32m)New6,75766,5112m ($0.32m)
(Source, 1 Chinese Yuan == $0.1586)

Titanic re-release set the record for both the biggest opening week ($74.22m vs. Transformer 3's $62.66m) and the largest number of admissions for a week (10.5m vs. TF3's 9.5m) to help the total weekly box office surpass 500m yuan for the first time ever. Happening in April with no holiday help makes the performance even more amazing. Not surprisingly, the best days for Titanic were Saturday (107m yuan/$16.97m) and Sunday (91.6m yuan/$14.53m).

As for how far it could go, the daily pattern so far has not shown sign of frontloadedness, and although Battleship will represent a solid competition, May Day holiday should help its later legs. I fully expect it to break 1 billion yuan for a $160m+ total, and when we take the $44m the original release grossed, it will re-claim the title for the biggest film of all time in China from Avatar.

Sunday, April 15, 2012

China Weekly Box Office (04/02 - 04/08): QingMing holiday and no openers propelled great holds across the board

MovieWeekly Gross (yuan/dollar)Change# of showingsadmissionsTotal (yuan/dollar)
1. Wrath of the Titans(诸神之怒)107.7m ($17.08m)+130.6%94,9402,476,961154.4m ($24.5m)
2. Love in the Buff(春娇与志明)40.5m ($6.42m)+118.9%65,2971,161,53659m ($9.36m)
3. John Carter(异星战场)31m ($4.92m)-22.5%36,390769,359258.9m ($41.03m)
4. Blood Stained Shoes(绣花鞋)27.5m ($4.36m)+212.5%53,218820,78736.3m ($5.76m)
5. The Unfortunate Car(车在囧途)19.8m ($3.14m)+780.0%40,771625,73722.05m ($3.5m)
6. Late Autumn(晚秋)12.65m ($2.01m)-48.4%26,539368,31965.15m ($10.34m)
7. Night Fall(大追捕)2.37m ($0.38m)-70.4%5,81266,98148.57m ($7.7m)
8. Blitz(玩命追踪)2.36m ($0.37m)-59.3%5,09070,80230.91m ($4.89m)
9. Snow Fall in Taipei(台湾飘雪)1.8m ($0.29m)+566.7%9,71443,8442.07m ($0.33m)
10. A Simple Life(桃姐)1.19m ($0.19m)-61.6%2,57335,54368.39m ($10.83m)
(Source, 1 Chinese Yuan == $0.1586)

China Weekly Box Office (03/25 - 04/01): Wrath of the Titans took the pole position

MovieWeekly Gross (yuan/dollar)Change# of showingsadmissionsTotal (yuan/dollar)
1. Wrath of the Titans(诸神之怒)46.7m ($7.42m)New38,8541,149,30046.7m ($7.42m)
2. John Carter(异星战场)40m ($6.35m)-59.7%62,9981,026,700227.9m ($36.11m)
3. Late Autumn(晚秋)24.5m ($3.89m)-12.5%52,999821,00052.5m ($8.33m)
4. Love in the Buff(春娇与志明)18.5m ($2.94m)New30,868571,80018.5m ($2.94m)
5. Blood Stained Shoes(绣花鞋)8.8m ($1.40m)New12,818282,5008.8m ($1.40m)
6. Night Fall(大追捕)8m ($1.27m)-56.5%24,325257,40046.2m ($7.32m)
7. Blitz(玩命追踪)5.8m ($0.92m)-55.4%17,725187,10028.55m ($4.52m)
8. Marrying My Perfect(嫁个一百分男人)3.8m ($0.60m)-67.0%17,146129,80024.6m ($3.89m)
9. A Simple Life(桃姐)3.1m ($0.49m)-65.2%9,44394,60067.2m ($10.64m)
10. The Unfortunate Car(车在囧途)2.25m ($0.36m)New4,36573,4002.25m ($0.36m)
(Source, 1 Chinese Yuan == $0.1588)

Friday, April 13, 2012

Weekend Box Office Predictions (Apr 13 - 15): The Cabin in the Woods, The Three Stooges, Lockout

MoviePredicted Gross (m)Change
1. The Hunger Games21.5-35.1%
2. The Cabin in the Woods13.0$4,625 PTA
3. Titanic (3D)11.5-33.5%
4. The Three Stooges11.0$3,164 PTA
5. American Reunion10.0-53.5%
6. Mirror Mirror8.5-23.4%
7. Wrath of the Titans8.0-45.7%
8. 21 Jump Street7.0-30.0%
9. Lockout4.5$1,950 PTA
10. Dr. Seuss' The Lorax3.1-38.4%

Friday, April 6, 2012

Weekend Box Office Predictions (Apr 6 - 8): back to the 90s with American Reunion and Titanic

MoviePredicted Gross (m)Change
1. The Hunger Games32.0-45.3%
2. American Reunion27.0$8,461 PTA
3. Titanic (3D)26.0$9,723 PTA
4. Wrath of the Titans15.0-55.2%
5. Mirror Mirror11.5-36.6%
6. 21 Jump Street8.8-40.7%
7. Dr. Seuss' The Lorax5.5-29.3%
8. Salmon Fishing in the Yemen0.9-29.3%
9. John Carter0.7-65.5%
10. Act of Valor0.53-47.1%