Thursday, March 22, 2012

Weekend Box Office Predictions (Mar 23 - 25): The Hunger Games; yes, I'm buying into the hype

MoviePredicted Gross (m)Change
1. The Hunger Games148.0$35,775 PTA
2. 21 Jump Street23.0-36.6%
3. Dr. Seuss' The Lorax13.0-42.9%
4. John Carter6.5-52.1%


Detailed breakdown for my The Hunger Games predictions:

Midnight - $25m
Friday without Midnight - $46m
Friday with midnight - $71m
Saturday - $45m
Sunday - $32m
Weekend - $148m

With excellent word-of-mouth, 21 Jump Street should see a healthy hold despite having to face The Hunger Games' massive opening. After all, Horrible Bosses declined just 37.2% when facing Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2's record-setting $169m start. Not much to discuss for the rest, as no film outside the top 4 would gross above $3m on this weekend.

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