Friday, May 6, 2011

Weekend Box Office Predictions (May 6 - May 8): Thor, Something Borrowed, Jumping the Broom; Happy Mother's Day!

MoviePredicted Gross (m)Change
1. Thor63.0$15,929 PTA
2. Fast Five33.0-61.7%
3. Something Borrowed10.6$3,650 PTA
4. Rio8.3-43.9%
5. Jumping the Broom8.0$3,931 PTA
6. Water for Elephants6.5-30.4%
7. Madea's Big Happy Family3.9-60.4%
8. Hoodwinked Too! Hood vs. Evil2.4-41.6%
9. Soul Surfer2.2-34.7%
10. Prom2.0-57.6%


  1. Looks like we're pretty close on everything except for Water for Elephants. I had $5.9 million for it, though I'm starting to think I low-balled it given the potential appeal of a film like that on Mother's Day weekend.

    Thor keeps giving me a bad feeling for some reason, but I stuck with over $61 million for it. The record number of 3D venues (over 2700 I think) could make the gross variable very interesting to watch.

  2. Yeah, I'm betting on Mother's Day's help for Water for Elephants, despite some additional competition from Something Borrowed. It should see 20% drop or less on Sunday.