Sunday, January 23, 2011

Oscar Nomination Predictions

It's that time of the year again! By winning PGA and continuing to perform superbly at the box office, The King's Speech is gaining big time momentum, and we may finally see an interesting race at the top this year, one that The Social Network appeared all but locked up after Golden Globes. But first thing first, my predictions for the nominations:

Best Picture
1. The Social Network
2. The King's Speech
3. Black Swan
4. Inception
5. The Fighter
6. True Grit
7. Toy Story 3
8. The Kids Are All Right
9. 127 Hours
10. Winter's Bone

alt. The Town, Shutter Island

Best Director
1. David Fincher, The Social Network
2. Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
3. Christopher Nolan, Inception
4. Tom Hooper, The King's Speech
5. Danny Boyle, 127 Hours

alt. David O. Russell, The Fighter; The Coen Bros, True Grit

Best Actor
1. Colin Firth, The King's Speech
2. Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
3. James Franco, 127 Hours
4. Jeff Bridges, True Grit
5. Robert Duvall, Get Low

alt. Javier Bardem, Biutiful; Ryan Gosling, Blue Valentine

Best Actress
1. Natalie Portman, Black Swan
2. Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
3. Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
4. Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
5. Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

alt. Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right; Noomi Rapace, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Best Supporting Actor
1. Christian Bale, The Fighter
2. Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
3. Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
4. Jeremy Renner, The Town
5. John Hawkes, Winter's Bone

alt. Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right; Bill Murray, Get Low

Best Supporting Actress
1. Melissa Leo, The Fighter
2. Helena Bonham-Carter, The King's Speech
3. Amy Adams, The Fighter
4. Mila Kunis, Black Swan
5. Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

alt. Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit; Barbara Hershey, Black Swan

Best Original Screenplay
1. The King's Speech
2. Inception
3. The Kids Are All Right
4. Black Swan
5. The Fighter

alt. Blue Valentine, Another Year

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. The Social Network
2. Toy Story 3
3. Winter's Bone
4. True Grit
5. 127 Hours

alt. Rabbit Hole, The Ghost Writer

Best Foreign Language Film
1. In a Better World, Denmark
2. Biutiful, Mexico
3. Incendies, Canada
4. Life Above All, South Africa
5. Even the Rain, Spain

alt. Dogtooth, Greece; Confessions, Japan

Best Animated Feature
1. Toy Story 3
2. How to Train Your Dragon
3. Tangled

alt. The Illusionist, Despicable Me

Best Documentary Feature
1. Waiting for "Superman"
2. Inside Job
3. Exit through the Gift Shop
4. Restrepo
5. Precious Life

alt. The Tillman Story, Enemies of the People

Best Documentary Short
1. Killing in the Name
2. Strangers No More
3. Born Sweet
4. Poster Girl
5. Living for 32

alt. The Warriors of Qiugang, Sun Come Up

Best Animated Short
1. Day & Night
2. Let's Pollute
3. The Silence Beneath the Bark
4. The Gruffalo
5. Coyote Falls

alt. The Lost Things, Urs

Best Live Action Short
1. Ana's Playground
2. Seeds of the Fall
3. Na Wewe
4. The Confession
5. Sma Barn Stora Ord

alt. Shoe, The Six Dollar Fifty Man

Best Editing
1. The Social Network
2. Inception
3. Black Swan
4. The King's Speech
5. The Fighter

alt. 127 Hours, True Grit

Best Cinematography
1. Inception
2. True Grit
3. The Social Network
4. Black Swan
5. 127 Hours

alt. The King's Speech, Shutter Island

Best Costume Design
1. The King's Speech
2. Alice in the Wonderland
3. Black Swan
4. True Grit
5. The Tempest

alt. Inception, Burlesque

Best Art Direction
1. The King's Speech
2. Inception
3. Alice in Wonderland
4. True Grit
5. Shutter Island

alt. Black Swan, Get Low

Best Visual Effects
1. Inception
2. Tron Legacy
3. Alice in Wonderland
4. Iron Man 2
5. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallow: Part I

alt. Scott Pilgrim vs. the World, Hereafter

Best Makeup
1. Alice in Wonderland
2. True Grit
3. The Way Back

alt. The Wolfman, The Fighter

Best Original Score
1. The King's Speech
2. Inception
3. How to Train Your Dragon
4. 127 Hours
5. The Social Network

alt. Alice in Wonderland, The Ghost Writer

Best Original Song
1. "I See the Light," Tangled
2. "We Belong Together," Toy Story 3
3. "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me Yet," Burlesque
4. "Shine," Waiting for Superman
5. "Bound to You," Burlesque

alt. "Coming Home," Country Strong; "Sticks and Stones," How to Train Your Dragon

Best Sound Mixing
1. Inception
2. True Grit
3. Toy Story 3
4. The Social Network
5. Black Swan

alt. Tron Legacy, 127 Hours

Best Sound Editing
1. Inception
2. Toy Story 3
3. True Grit
4. 127 Hours
5. Tron Legacy

alt. Black Swan, Alice in Wonderland


  1. Good predictions. I think The Town will make it to the top 10 and BS will get art direction and make-up nods. Oh and it's Tom Hooper ;)

  2. What exactly is meant by an alternate? I've never understood why people put that in their predictions. Grow a pair and list the appropriate number of nominees, period. If you're wrong you're wrong. It's not the end of the world.

  3. The alternates are there to reflect other possibilities and the general state of each race. The predictions are what I truly predict will happen, and those are the only ones to be counted if we're grading how we did by tomorrow morning. I don't really see much problem with the approach.

  4. That's because you are a giant loser.

  5. Yeah Anonymous and you are such a winner that you have to hide your name