Friday, December 31, 2010

Weekend Box Office Predictions (Dec 31 - Jan 2): Happy New Year!

MoviePredicted Gross (m)Change
1. Little Fockers28.0-9.2%
2. True Grit25.0+0.6%
3. Tron21.0+9.7%
4. Yogi Bear12.5+59.5%
5. Tangled11.0+71.1%
6. The Fighter9.0+18.3%
7. Gulliver's Travels9.0+42.7%
8. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader8.5-10.3%
9. Black Swan8.2+31.1%
10. The King's Speech6.8+51.2%

Wish everyone a Happy 2011!


  1. I might have totally missed something in my last minute predictions this weekend, but I'm wondering: why do you think Narnia will drop 10% this weekend?

  2. I might have just answered my own question: inflation from Christmas?

  3. Yeah, the Christmas-themed films tend to have the worst holds on the New Year weekend, and Narnia seems to fit the bill the best from this year's crop.

  4. By "the worst holds", I meant comparing to other films on this weekend.

  5. Interesting. I had actually felt like Narnia wasn't Christmas-centric (despite its good hold on Christmas Eve). One of my projections even had it going over $11 million, but I brought it down to $10 million just in case.