Friday, December 3, 2010

Weekend Box Office Predictions (Dec 3 - 5): The Warrior's Way

MoviePredicted Gross (m)Change
1. Tangled23.0-52.8%
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 119.1-61.1%
3. Burlesque6.7-43.9%
4. Unstoppable6.1-46.6%
5. Love and Other Drugs5.3-45.6%
6. Megamind5.1-59.4%
7. Due Date3.7-48.4%
8. Faster3.5-58.9%
9. The Warrior's Way2.7$1,665 PTA
10. The Next Three Days2.6-44.5%

Even though it is the sole wide release of the weekend, the signs for The Warrior's Way are universally bad. The advance sales appear non-existent. It looks to gather around a weak 2,200 tweets from Monday to Thursday. With Ninja Assassin getting a ratio of 1,714, Jonah Hex at 3,124, and it having a smaller theater count, expect a ratio in the low 2,000 range for an opening day around $1m. The BOM poll comparison between those films - 5.9% Opening Weekend and 6.1% Sometime in Theaters for The Warrior's Way, 17.4% + 12.4% for Ninja Assassin, and 11.2% + 19.1% for Jonah Hex - also points an opening around $3m.

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