Thursday, November 25, 2010

Weekend Box Office Predictions (Nov 26 - 28): Tangled, Burlesque, Love and Other Drugs, Faster

MoviePredicted Gross (m)Change
1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 150.0-60.0%
2. Tangled41.0 / 60 (5-day)$11,379 PTA
3. Burlesque14.0 / 23 (5-day)$4,610 PTA
4. Megamind13.5-15.7%
5. Unstoppable10.1-22.3%
6. Love and Other Drugs9.8 / 14 (5-day)$3,992 PTA
7. Faster8.0 / 12 (5-day)$3,260 PTA
8. Due Date5.8-34.9%
9. The Next Three Days4.9-25.1%
10. Morning Glory3.9-25.0%

Don't have much time to write other than saying Happy Thanksgiving! Basically look for holdovers to have excellent holds with the holiday boost. Harry Potter would be an exception since it grossed $24m, or 19%, during opening midnight on its initial frame. As for the openers, the BOM poll for Tangled is on par with Despicable Me and just a little worse than Enchanted, which didn't have 3D and still grossed $49m over its first five days, indicating $60m for it is achievable. Burlesque's daily pattern should be similar to what Rent had, but with a higher opening day. Faster's BOM poll is significantly worse than what Hitman and Ninja Assassin received, so it may not even beat Love and Other Drugs, even though the latter isn't enjoying the greatest reviews.

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